BARRIEY BARRIEY, Carova--It could be bad news or good news for Conservatives, depending on how you look at it.
Assemblyman Don Cargialachi (pronounced "Car-gee-uh-lock-ee"), a Conservative from Barriey-Barriey in northwestern Carova, took himself off the list of potential CNS Senate candidates in the 2014 election.
The party is seeking to make up lost ground after inflicting heavy casualties and losses in the 2012 Senate elections, which saw Nationalists take a commanding 53-36 majority in the upper chamber, after years of Conservative dominance, and in recent years, a closely-split body.
At an impromptu press conference in the halls outside the Assembly chambers, Cargialachi told members of the Carova press corps he will not run for the Senate in 2014.
"I have no intentions of seeking either of the two Senate seats," he said. "I'm focused on retaining the seat of Barriey Barriey-North Brushland in the Assembly."
His announcement brought dismay to some Conservatives, who saw the two-term assemblyman as a potentially strong challenger to incumbent Sens. Karen Coriano (N) and Ann Kocheni (N), who are both up for re-election in 2014.
But Cargialachi's decision also clears the way for other Conservatives who are seeking to run, and his withdrawal may benefit the CNS, by avoiding an expensive and divisive primary campaign.
No candidates have officially jumped into either race yet, though many are said to be considering running.
Despite eagerness on the CNS side, both Coriano and Kocheni are seen as formidable incumbents that will be hard to defeat.
However, Conservative insiders believe one or both senators could be defeated, if the CNS finds a viable candidate.
"Both of them, potentially, are vulnerable," one CNS source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told GNN. "If we get the right guy in there, and we raise enough money, it's possible. This election is going to be in the Conservatives' favor. The Nationalists will be on the defensive."
Indeed the NAT will be on the defensive, as 18 of the 29 Senate seats up for grabs in 2014 belong to the NAT.
It will be almost impossible for the CNS to re-take the majority in the 2014 election. In fact, most political experts predict the party will make just modest gains.
But some of the party's top thinkers are hopeful Conservatives can defeat at least one of Carova's female senators in the mid-term elections.
The CNS bench is deep with potential candidates, most notably Assemblyman Sawyer Upton, who holds the seat of Bridgemont in northwest Lorenzi; and Assemblyman Piper Alleby, who represents the electorate of Gerrison, which encompasses all of Oliver and most of the far eastern part of the state.
Upton is a Holden-educated lawyer, who has a moderate voting record and is close to the party's establishment. The seat of Bridgemont leans conservative but can be competitive.
Alleby studied at Deedrick University, is a gifted orator and lawyer by trade, and is more outspoken and media-savvy than his quieter colleague from the other end of the state.
Not surprisingly, since Gerrison is a staunchly red district, Alleby is more conservative than the centrist Upton.
The two assemblymen are starkly different, even if from the same party. One is reserved and intuitive, the other is more combative and relishes the limelight.
But both have strong resumes and conservative (enough) credentials in a state that leans to the CNS, but has trended more blue in recent years.
Kocheni is seen as the safer of the two incumbent senators, as she has struck a bipartisan tone and worked across party lines while in Mavocke.
Coriano is a champion of the liberal movement, and is beloved by progressives. She is well-known for her frequent media appearances, in which she often trashes the Conservative party mercilessly.
But Conservatives say her election in 2008 was a fluke, and her ultra-liberal voting record is out-of-sync with a conservative state like Carova.
"Karen Coriano belongs in a state like Lial or Trinton -- state's where liberals dominate -- because she is a very liberal, a very partisan person," CNS party strategist Simon Leon told GNN. "She is two things that Carova isn't: a left-wing liberal and an angry partisan."
Nationalists defend Coriano, however, saying she may be antagonistic toward the Conservative party, but she's still relatively centrist.
"Karen Coriano is a frequent target of the CNS because she is all over the media, and she calls the Conservatives out on their lies and half-truths. Because of her high profile and the absence of fear she has to confront the Conservative party, she has become a big target. But that does not make her a left-wing partisan. She has a high profile, but her voting record is much more mainstream than the Conservatives would have you believe," Diana Slade, a liberal radio host from Lorenzi's 930 AM told the Lorenzi Hill.
Slade points to Coriano's backing of middle-class tax cuts, her support of Gov. Sam Byelle's (C) transportation plan, and her vote in favor of limited off-shore drilling.
Conservatives are unfazed. They see Coriano as a bitter partisan that is too liberal for Carova.
In Kocheni, they see the opposite.
"Ann Kocheni is a nice person, but what has she done for Carova? Can you name one thing she has done, one issue she has championed while in Mavocke? She mostly has just co-sponsored legislation and signed onto other members' bills. She has never taken the lead on any issue," said Leon. "Carovans want a conservative voice in Mavocke, and they want someone who will stand up for our state and work hard, on the front lines, to defend and protect our freedoms and interests."
Conservatives' brightest hopes rest on Alleby and Upton, but other candidates could emerge as well.
Assemblywoman Donna Creilo, who represents the central coast seat of Seaside and the Moors, could run. Former Assemblymen Aaron Hallings and Jim Calisto could also make a bid.
Lt. Gov. Dave Emser is also said to be mulling a run, according to sources close to the situation.
Assemblyman Tyler Dodd of Townsend could make a second attempt at the Senate, after having lost in 2008 in a three-way race to Kocheni and Conservative-turned-Independent Sen. Lee Schefsky.
But Dodd is heavily rumored to be the next chairman of the National Conservative Party.
And then there is the possibility of other candidates who have yet to emerge. The 2014 elections are still more than 15 months away. Any candidate could crop up in that amount of time.
Two things are for certain, though: Conservatives are angered that Nationalists hold three of four Senate seats in a state that leans Conservative. And Nationalists, thought they may be on the defense in 2014, will not give up easily. The NAT is still favored in both Carova Senate races.
"We are expecting both of these races to be long, drawn out, expensive, bitter, nasty battles," state NAT party Chairman Jim Pauldon told the Lorenzi Hill. "We are prepared for the worst and committed to fight it out to the very end."
Assemblyman Don Cargialachi (pronounced "Car-gee-uh-lock-ee"), a Conservative from Barriey-Barriey in northwestern Carova, took himself off the list of potential CNS Senate candidates in the 2014 election.
The party is seeking to make up lost ground after inflicting heavy casualties and losses in the 2012 Senate elections, which saw Nationalists take a commanding 53-36 majority in the upper chamber, after years of Conservative dominance, and in recent years, a closely-split body.
At an impromptu press conference in the halls outside the Assembly chambers, Cargialachi told members of the Carova press corps he will not run for the Senate in 2014.
"I have no intentions of seeking either of the two Senate seats," he said. "I'm focused on retaining the seat of Barriey Barriey-North Brushland in the Assembly."
His announcement brought dismay to some Conservatives, who saw the two-term assemblyman as a potentially strong challenger to incumbent Sens. Karen Coriano (N) and Ann Kocheni (N), who are both up for re-election in 2014.
But Cargialachi's decision also clears the way for other Conservatives who are seeking to run, and his withdrawal may benefit the CNS, by avoiding an expensive and divisive primary campaign.
No candidates have officially jumped into either race yet, though many are said to be considering running.
Despite eagerness on the CNS side, both Coriano and Kocheni are seen as formidable incumbents that will be hard to defeat.
However, Conservative insiders believe one or both senators could be defeated, if the CNS finds a viable candidate.
"Both of them, potentially, are vulnerable," one CNS source, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told GNN. "If we get the right guy in there, and we raise enough money, it's possible. This election is going to be in the Conservatives' favor. The Nationalists will be on the defensive."
Indeed the NAT will be on the defensive, as 18 of the 29 Senate seats up for grabs in 2014 belong to the NAT.
It will be almost impossible for the CNS to re-take the majority in the 2014 election. In fact, most political experts predict the party will make just modest gains.
But some of the party's top thinkers are hopeful Conservatives can defeat at least one of Carova's female senators in the mid-term elections.
The CNS bench is deep with potential candidates, most notably Assemblyman Sawyer Upton, who holds the seat of Bridgemont in northwest Lorenzi; and Assemblyman Piper Alleby, who represents the electorate of Gerrison, which encompasses all of Oliver and most of the far eastern part of the state.
Upton is a Holden-educated lawyer, who has a moderate voting record and is close to the party's establishment. The seat of Bridgemont leans conservative but can be competitive.
Alleby studied at Deedrick University, is a gifted orator and lawyer by trade, and is more outspoken and media-savvy than his quieter colleague from the other end of the state.
Not surprisingly, since Gerrison is a staunchly red district, Alleby is more conservative than the centrist Upton.
The two assemblymen are starkly different, even if from the same party. One is reserved and intuitive, the other is more combative and relishes the limelight.
But both have strong resumes and conservative (enough) credentials in a state that leans to the CNS, but has trended more blue in recent years.
Kocheni is seen as the safer of the two incumbent senators, as she has struck a bipartisan tone and worked across party lines while in Mavocke.
Coriano is a champion of the liberal movement, and is beloved by progressives. She is well-known for her frequent media appearances, in which she often trashes the Conservative party mercilessly.
But Conservatives say her election in 2008 was a fluke, and her ultra-liberal voting record is out-of-sync with a conservative state like Carova.
"Karen Coriano belongs in a state like Lial or Trinton -- state's where liberals dominate -- because she is a very liberal, a very partisan person," CNS party strategist Simon Leon told GNN. "She is two things that Carova isn't: a left-wing liberal and an angry partisan."
Nationalists defend Coriano, however, saying she may be antagonistic toward the Conservative party, but she's still relatively centrist.
"Karen Coriano is a frequent target of the CNS because she is all over the media, and she calls the Conservatives out on their lies and half-truths. Because of her high profile and the absence of fear she has to confront the Conservative party, she has become a big target. But that does not make her a left-wing partisan. She has a high profile, but her voting record is much more mainstream than the Conservatives would have you believe," Diana Slade, a liberal radio host from Lorenzi's 930 AM told the Lorenzi Hill.
Slade points to Coriano's backing of middle-class tax cuts, her support of Gov. Sam Byelle's (C) transportation plan, and her vote in favor of limited off-shore drilling.
Conservatives are unfazed. They see Coriano as a bitter partisan that is too liberal for Carova.
In Kocheni, they see the opposite.
"Ann Kocheni is a nice person, but what has she done for Carova? Can you name one thing she has done, one issue she has championed while in Mavocke? She mostly has just co-sponsored legislation and signed onto other members' bills. She has never taken the lead on any issue," said Leon. "Carovans want a conservative voice in Mavocke, and they want someone who will stand up for our state and work hard, on the front lines, to defend and protect our freedoms and interests."
Conservatives' brightest hopes rest on Alleby and Upton, but other candidates could emerge as well.
Assemblywoman Donna Creilo, who represents the central coast seat of Seaside and the Moors, could run. Former Assemblymen Aaron Hallings and Jim Calisto could also make a bid.
Lt. Gov. Dave Emser is also said to be mulling a run, according to sources close to the situation.
Assemblyman Tyler Dodd of Townsend could make a second attempt at the Senate, after having lost in 2008 in a three-way race to Kocheni and Conservative-turned-Independent Sen. Lee Schefsky.
But Dodd is heavily rumored to be the next chairman of the National Conservative Party.
And then there is the possibility of other candidates who have yet to emerge. The 2014 elections are still more than 15 months away. Any candidate could crop up in that amount of time.
Two things are for certain, though: Conservatives are angered that Nationalists hold three of four Senate seats in a state that leans Conservative. And Nationalists, thought they may be on the defense in 2014, will not give up easily. The NAT is still favored in both Carova Senate races.
"We are expecting both of these races to be long, drawn out, expensive, bitter, nasty battles," state NAT party Chairman Jim Pauldon told the Lorenzi Hill. "We are prepared for the worst and committed to fight it out to the very end."