Houndsler still leads in Ansleigha, but Baskingwood gaining

KOEURN, Asl. -- First-time candidate Agatha Houndsler is off to a strong start in the Ansleigha governor's race. The art teacher and psychologist continues to lead Conservative Gov. Sam Baskingwood and Independent businesswoman Rosamond Burkes. 

However, Houndsler's lead has slipped slightly, and Baskingwood has made some small gains, according to the latest poll.

The latest poll, conducted by the University of Ansleigha and The Grassadellia City Times, finds Houndsler earning 39.7% and Baskingwood earning 38.2%, while Burkes receives 21.3%, respectively.

Just two months ago, Houndsler led Baskingwood in the polls by almost seven points. That was before the NAT nominee had secured her party's nomination, however. And Houndsler was not well-known by Ansleigha voters at the time.

Since she won her party's nomination last month, Houndsler has come under greater scrutiny from the media and her political rivals. She's also come under attack from both the Baskingwood and Burkes campaigns, who have portrayed Houndsler as a left-wing idealist who prioritizes feel-good social justice gestures over effective policies.

"Agatha Houndsler may be a nice person, but her policies are just flat out crazy," says a narrator in a pro-Baskingwood campaign commercial.

The same commercial hits Houndsler for suggesting rehabilitation and early release for violent criminals in the state's prison system, and for her embrace of transgender-friendly policies in schools and government offices.

"When it comes to protecting Ansleigha's families from violent crime and dangerous predators, Sam Baskingwood is the only candidate who will keep criminals off the street, and keep predators out of our kids' schools and bathrooms," says the narrator.

Burkes has similarly gone after Houndsler, calling her a "culture warrior for the left."

"'Hagatha,' as I call her, is a bleeding heart liberal. She wants to feed all the homeless people and give them free food and shelter. She even wants to give them free drugs and needle exchanges. Because she says that will help them," said Burkes at a campaign rally in the eastern suburbs of Koeurn last week.

The crowd booed at Burkes' comments.

"If you want to fix the homeless situation, if you want to get thugs and drug dealers off the streets, you better vote for me. Because 'Hagatha' won't do it, and 'Sell-Out Sam' won't do it either," said Burkes, referring to Houndsler and Baskingwood, both of whom she has given degrading nicknames.

Houndsler embraces the hippie label her political foes have assigned to her.

"I am a hippie, I won't shy away from that. I am a hippie. I am anti-war. I am pro-human rights. I am pro-women's rights. I am pro-environment. If all of that makes me a hippie, then yes, I am one," she told The Grassadellia City Times as a reporter shadowed her on the campaign trail last week.

Still, it's unclear if Conservatives' usual playbook -- using crime and homelessness to criticize and attack Nationalist politicians -- will work this time around.

Baskingwood has been in office for three-and-a-half years at this point, and any criticism about crime would also imply he has not done enough himself to combat the problem. The same is true of homelessness.

But top Conservatives are hoping their negative ads that cast Houndsler as an extreme left-wing "bleeding heart" will sway voters who value law and order.

"This election is, I think, going to come down less to the economy and more to crime, homelessness, and culture wars. For better or for worse," said Dr. Phil Angelo, a political science professor at Hastings University in Elmhurst. "The question is, which candidate will voters trust on these issues."