Monday, October 29, 2012

Wynmyer trails in Carova

CAROVA CITY, Carova--Once the beloved leader of Carova's Congressional delegation, Federal Sen. Julie Wynmyer, who made history back in 2006 after becoming Carova's first Democratic-Reformist senator since the 1930's, now finds herself trailing significantly in the polls just a few weeks before election day.

A new North Star/Carova Statesman poll shows former Sen. Dan Wainwright (C) leading with 39%, followed by environmentalist Becki Salmon (N) with 31%, and Wynmyer in third place with 30 percent, respectively.

The poll is mixed news for Wainwright, who is seeking to return to the Senate after being removed via the election lottery last year.

The poll shows he has the lead, but is just short of the necessary 40% threshold to secure a victory. Carova law requires a candidate to attain at least 40% of the popular vote in order to be elected. If no candidate secures 40% of the vote, then the top two candidates advance to a run-off election.

Nationalist candidate Becki Salmon is showing surprising strength in the polls, despite being overwhelmingly outspent by both the Wainwright and Wynmyer campaigns, and also having little support from her own party.

Because Wynymer agreed to caucus with Nationalists in the Senate, national NAT leaders such as Senate Majority Leader John Morandi (N-Lial) and chairman of the Nationalist Senate Campaign Organization (NSCO) Sen. John Yannes (N-Onakiah), have promised not to support Salmon's candidacy.

However, the environmental activist Salmon has still raised money and has support of state leaders, despite her candidacy not being sanctioned by the national party.

Wynmyer championed herself as an independent in the first few years of her term, often siding with Conservatives. But over the past two years, she has increasingly sided with Nationalists, and has angered conservatives who feel betrayed by her switching allegiance.

Likewise, many Nationalists are troubled with her more conservative votes.

Her bipartisanship may play well with independent voters, but it has angered both Conservatives and Nationalists who see her as too unreliable.

For now, the three-way campaign is focusing on the economy and taxes. Wainwright has positioned himself as a champion of tax cuts and economic growth, while Salmon has sought to center the campaign around the Conservative Party's tax benefits for wealthy individuals and corporations.

Salmon has also tried to bring the environment into the campaign, telling a crowd yesterday in her hometown of Bruce Junction that she is "the only candidate that will actually stand up for our environment and protect our lands from rogue logging and mining companies."

Wynmyer is seeking to draw on her biography for more votes. In a new ad that just started appearing this week, she talks straight into the camera about working as a teacher for 25 years. She also mentions her family's blue collar and bipartisan roots.

The CNS is hoping to pick up a gain in Carova, as the party seeks to re-take the Senate.

The best Wynmyer can hope for at this point is to finish in second place, and hold Wainwright below the 40% threshold. If she can manage that, she may have hope to upset the CNS candidate in what will be a long-shot run-off bid.

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