BERIVIAN, Deschire--Representative Jan Beamer has grabbed an early lead in Deschire's gubernatorial race, a new poll shows.
A newly-published Opinion Research poll shows Beamer (N) leading with 40%, followed by Democratic-Reformist businessman Grant Riley with 33% and Conservative businessman Robert Mar with 27 per cent.
The poll finds Beamer dominating in the Berivian metropolitan area, the state's largest. The Assemblywoman also appears to have strong numbers in Northbridge, the state's capitol and second-largest city, as well as Brookeford and Dash Knoll in the northwest, and Humboldton in the central part of the state.
Grant Riley, who previously ran for governor back in 2007 (he finished second behind Conservative Sharon Kelley), has a strong appeal in rural counties, where voters trend Conservative, but are frustrated with the out-going and unpopular incumbent Kelley, who many feel has failed to deliver on campaign promises.
Rural voters also heavily identify with Riley's populist views and cynicism toward both major parties.
In addition, Conservative candidate Robert Mar, a businessman from Berivian, is not as well-known as Riley and Beamer.
About two thirds of respondents said they did not know Mar or did not know enough about him to form an opinion.
The quiet and reserved Mar has struggled to rise above the much more visible and charismatic Riley, whom many see as a stronger center-right candidate, despite his Democratic-Reformist party affiliation.
The poll is bad news for supporters of Grant Riley and Robert Mar, however, as it indicates the two similar candidates are splitting the conservative vote.
Nationalists are ecstatic at the prospect of reclaiming a seat they previously held.
"This poll is the latest in a string that shows Jan Beamer leading handily in Deschire, because her policies are right on track with what Deschireans need and want," Allison Guthrie, a spokeswoman for the Nationalist Governor's Association (NATGA) told the NPF.
The Riley campaign says it is very early in the election season, and there is still plenty of time to turn around the poll numbers.
"Trust me, by the time the election rolls around, voters in Deschire will be very well-briefed and acquainted with the failed policies of Jan Beamer and the Nationalist Party," Keith Allud, spokesman for Riley's campaign, was quoted as saying on the political website Mud Piety.
Conservatives also say there is still plenty of time left until the election, and stress their candidate Robert Mar is not as well-known because he's never ran for political office before.
"Robert Mar has not been in Mavocke for eight years. He hasn't ran for governor before. This is his first foray into politics, and it should be expected he has some work to do to get his name out in the public sphere," CNS strategist Alan Gould said on Jerry Quigsby's Around the Horn program on GNN.
The Opinion Research poll is in line with other recent polls, which show by various numbers Beamer leading, followed by Riley, and Mar trailing in third place.
Dr. Kerry Rudgley, head of Dulkalow University's Edinough School of Government, rates the Deschire gubernatorial race as "likely Nationalist gain."
A newly-published Opinion Research poll shows Beamer (N) leading with 40%, followed by Democratic-Reformist businessman Grant Riley with 33% and Conservative businessman Robert Mar with 27 per cent.
The poll finds Beamer dominating in the Berivian metropolitan area, the state's largest. The Assemblywoman also appears to have strong numbers in Northbridge, the state's capitol and second-largest city, as well as Brookeford and Dash Knoll in the northwest, and Humboldton in the central part of the state.
Grant Riley, who previously ran for governor back in 2007 (he finished second behind Conservative Sharon Kelley), has a strong appeal in rural counties, where voters trend Conservative, but are frustrated with the out-going and unpopular incumbent Kelley, who many feel has failed to deliver on campaign promises.
Rural voters also heavily identify with Riley's populist views and cynicism toward both major parties.
In addition, Conservative candidate Robert Mar, a businessman from Berivian, is not as well-known as Riley and Beamer.
About two thirds of respondents said they did not know Mar or did not know enough about him to form an opinion.
The quiet and reserved Mar has struggled to rise above the much more visible and charismatic Riley, whom many see as a stronger center-right candidate, despite his Democratic-Reformist party affiliation.
The poll is bad news for supporters of Grant Riley and Robert Mar, however, as it indicates the two similar candidates are splitting the conservative vote.
Nationalists are ecstatic at the prospect of reclaiming a seat they previously held.
"This poll is the latest in a string that shows Jan Beamer leading handily in Deschire, because her policies are right on track with what Deschireans need and want," Allison Guthrie, a spokeswoman for the Nationalist Governor's Association (NATGA) told the NPF.
The Riley campaign says it is very early in the election season, and there is still plenty of time to turn around the poll numbers.
"Trust me, by the time the election rolls around, voters in Deschire will be very well-briefed and acquainted with the failed policies of Jan Beamer and the Nationalist Party," Keith Allud, spokesman for Riley's campaign, was quoted as saying on the political website Mud Piety.
Conservatives also say there is still plenty of time left until the election, and stress their candidate Robert Mar is not as well-known because he's never ran for political office before.
"Robert Mar has not been in Mavocke for eight years. He hasn't ran for governor before. This is his first foray into politics, and it should be expected he has some work to do to get his name out in the public sphere," CNS strategist Alan Gould said on Jerry Quigsby's Around the Horn program on GNN.
The Opinion Research poll is in line with other recent polls, which show by various numbers Beamer leading, followed by Riley, and Mar trailing in third place.
Dr. Kerry Rudgley, head of Dulkalow University's Edinough School of Government, rates the Deschire gubernatorial race as "likely Nationalist gain."
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